Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.493717 6.550605e-01 0.840120 1.064907 1.327430 1.621362 1.972334
2025-03-23 0.299036 5.005160e-01 0.765341 1.123990 1.582556 2.135752 2.839879
2025-03-30 0.177510 3.843839e-01 0.697053 1.164902 1.810341 2.635777 3.737229
2025-04-06 0.099757 2.916404e-01 0.628187 1.182042 1.999130 3.096090 4.615920
2025-04-13 0.047740 2.072980e-01 0.540742 1.147062 2.101801 3.442291 5.362567
2025-04-20 0.023005 1.573451e-01 0.491804 1.156341 2.260793 3.867423 6.228543
2025-04-27 0.009874 1.201931e-01 0.451398 1.167675 2.417267 4.291557 7.105969
2025-05-04 0.002558 8.297805e-02 0.391574 1.128013 2.482536 4.580625 7.801374
2025-05-11 0.000250 5.482278e-02 0.336241 1.081566 2.526026 4.832996 8.447772
2025-05-18 0.000001 4.008823e-02 0.309939 1.087826 2.656972 5.220593 9.297774
2025-05-25 NaN 2.551400e-02 0.270020 1.052750 2.707217 5.480605 9.965070
2025-06-01 NaN 2.143576e-02 0.270962 1.114558 2.939551 6.037146 11.085648
2025-06-08 NaN 1.415705e-02 0.247544 1.112217 3.054018 6.415281 11.961534
2025-06-15 NaN 1.272157e-02 0.257843 1.201566 3.353211 7.106957 13.331018
2025-06-22 NaN 1.015621e-02 0.256888 1.259630 3.593885 7.709698 14.579005
2025-06-29 NaN 7.079010e-03 0.245603 1.285713 3.771282 8.212067 15.683817
2025-07-06 NaN 3.586440e-03 0.217040 1.252735 3.823860 8.504501 16.469740
2025-07-13 NaN 2.059958e-03 0.204063 1.264701 3.969781 8.958810 17.515230
2025-07-20 NaN 1.088255e-03 0.192450 1.277846 4.117692 9.419127 18.576904
2025-07-27 NaN 2.800206e-04 0.167427 1.236219 4.141534 9.662427 19.299243
2025-08-03 NaN 2.051005e-05 0.143027 1.187047 4.142430 9.862775 19.954748
2025-08-10 NaN 1.638746e-07 0.133564 1.193860 4.270992 10.293369 20.985925
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.115446 1.156556 4.292193 10.529361 21.705682